Welcome to week ten of a 52-week account of my experience over the year with OddsJam.
You can read about last week here: OddsJam Betting Results Week 10 of 52.
Well, Week 11 looked great EXCEPT for Tuesday. Stunningly, even with a day like Tuesday, I ended the week with an overall gain. I managed to get in over 100 bets, which was a goal I set last week. It is always good to hit those targets. With the NBA back in action, there are now a lot more positive expected value (+EV) bets to make.
Most of the +EV bets I’m putting through are player props. I have noticed that a few books that I’m using really limit the amount you can place on a player prop – if there weren’t these limits, it would have been an outstanding week. This is just part of the process and knowing this just means I place more bets on games just with lower stakes. It all adds up.
Sunday’s slate of NFL games were profitable. I’m still not seeing many odds from some of the books that have had loads of NFL +EV bets in the past. That could just be when they release their lines or where they are setting their lines. We know that the books are very good at making money, so it isn’t a surprise that they continue to make adjustments.
NFL, NHL, NBA are all up and running. So is soccer. Now is a great time to start your own profitable sports betting journey! Head on over to OddsJam to start your 7-day free trial. You will not regret it!
The NHL hammered me this week. Shots on goal specifically cost me a lot. I’ll chalk it up to variance, we know that happens, and just keep putting in the bets. It is early in the season, so I’m confident that between now and April I’ll get back to the positive side for NHL bets.
The biggest edge I found for the week was Donovan Mitchel to have under 4.5 assists in the Cavaliers-Nets game. He finished with six assists, so I didn’t cash, but it was still an outstanding 27+% edge. (That is NOT an error. There was +EV bet that OddsJam found with an edge of over twenty-seven percent!)
The longest odds I hit for the week was landing Jaren Jackson Jr. hitting over 8.5 rebounds at 2.7 odds (+170 American).
The worst miss for the week was a total on the Rangers-Oilers game. I had the total over 5 at 1.46 odds (-217 American) which was disappointing as the Oilers were shutout 3-0.
Results
I’m up just 4.2 betting units for the week (a betting unit is my smallest wager). However, you can see that Tuesday was not kind. So, a positive for the week as a whole is actually good.
I hit more than my target of over 100 bets for the week with 127 on the books. Some of those were arbitrage bets, which double count, but I still would have been over 100 without those arbs.
A few more arbs this week, which is great. Free money is free money and I’ll take whenever I can.
I set a new high-water mark for betting the CLV at 87%. You would think that beating the CLV this often would result in even higher profits, but it doesn’t always turn out that way. Like last week, this may indicate that I should be putting in more bets even if the edge is a bit low (just under 1%). I’ll keep an eye on it. I won 52% of the bets for the week, which is slightly higher than expected. It just so happens that I missed on some of my bigger bets. The profit margin per wager for the week was 1.27%. Lower than I’d like, but still positive.
October is still slightly in the red, but that is closing fast. I’m still confident that October will end up a green month with a modest gain for the bankroll.
Disclaimer: Sharp-eyed readers may have noticed that links to OddsJam are affiliate links and I am not hiding that. I truly believe in their product and use it daily. Visit OddsJam for a 7-day free trial and see for yourself. I will only receive a commission if you become a paying customer.
Pingback: OddsJam Betting Results for Week 12 of 52 - Beyond The EV
Comments are closed.