Welcome to week 41 of a 52-week account of my experience over the year using OddsJam.
You can read about last week here: OddsJam Bettings Results for Week 40 of 52.
(I mentioned two weeks ago that I have been so consistent with this journey that I’ll start to post shorter versionse of the weekly updates.)
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Results
I finished the week down $116. Five days in the red is rare. A third week with a loss is very rare as well. Since starting in August, this is only the second time I’ve had three consecutive weeks that ended in the red. However, I still have been profitable every month so far – nine months in a row!
The Numbers
My win rate was back up at the expected level, 50% which matches my long-term trend. It doesn’t happen very often that I hit a 50% win rate and end up in the red.
I handily beat the closing line value for the week at a rate of 81%, more than high enough to ensure long-term profit. How often you beat the closing line value is the best indicator in value betting (positive EV betting). It tells you how often you end of with a bet that is better than the consensus book value.
With only 34 bets in for the week, variance (negative in this case) will have more of a chance to hit hard positively or negatively. More volume is needed, but at this time of the year with the books I’ve got on the go at the moment and when I can place my best, it just isn’t an option.
Profit per wager was negative 12.6%, which is harsh. My long-term average is above 3.5%.
With so few bets in it wasn’t a surprise that my weekly turnover was under $1k for the first time in a while.
A few rough weeks, but I’ll keep a level head and keep placing the bets. Variance settles with enough volume. We are playing the long game, so we expect the occasional downturn.
Sign Up
If you’re thinking about giving OddsJam a shot to make you a profitable sports bettor, do it! Now would be a great time to start. Start your free trial of OddsJam. Take 35% off your first month with coupon code Beyond35 and explore what OddsJam is all about.
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